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Hakoah Sydney City vs Newcastle Jets II Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 06:30

Hakoah Sydney City

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Newcastle Jets II

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.8% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.5%0-22.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.8%1-16.3%1-25.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.8%2-18.0%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.8%3-25.6%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-18.0%4+-26.6%4+-33.6%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% 52.4% 1.91 +6.8%

Draw 20.1% 25.0% 4.00 -11.8%

Away win 24.1% 34.5% 2.90 -18.1%

Over 2.5 71.8% 73.5% 1.36 -2.4%

Over 3.5 50.1% 56.5% 1.77 -11.3%

BTTS 69.0% 77.5% 1.29 -11.0%

Home O1.5 65.1% 69.4% 1.44 -6.3%

Away O1.5 48.5% 51.8% 1.93 -6.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 55.2%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.0%

H 56% / xG 2.5-1.7 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.3%

#3 3–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hakoah Sydney City2.5

Newcastle Jets II1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 50.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HAKOAH SYDNEY CITY · PPG 1.71

NEWCASTLE JETS II · PPG 1.07

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.89 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hakoah Sydney City (H) 55.9%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +6.8%

Draw 20.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -11.8%

Newcastle Jets II (A) 24.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hakoah Sydney City face Newcastle Jets II in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hakoah Sydney City a 56% chance, the draw 20% and Newcastle Jets II 24%, so Hakoah Sydney City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Hakoah Sydney City and 1.7 for Newcastle Jets II (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hakoah Sydney City are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.07 for Newcastle Jets II. This match finished 3-3.

Hakoah Sydney City vs Newcastle Jets II Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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