Today / Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 / Bulls Academy vs Blacktown Spartans

Bulls Academy vs Blacktown Spartans Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 09:00

Bulls Academy

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Blacktown Spartans

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-16.5%0-27.2%0-35.2%0-4+4.8%1 1-03.9%1-18.6%1-29.5%1-36.9%1-4+6.3%2 2-02.6%2-15.7%2-26.2%2-34.6%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.1%3-12.5%3-22.7%3-32.0%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% 22.2% 4.50 +2.6%

Draw 20.2% 23.1% 4.33 -7.5%

Away win 56.6% 66.7% 1.50 -15.1%

Over 2.5 66.3% 73.5% 1.36 -9.8%

Over 3.5 45.0% 54.1% 1.85 -16.8%

BTTS 61.5% 71.9% 1.39 -14.5%

Home O1.5 37.2% 40.3% 2.48 -7.7%

Away O1.5 62.3% 74.1% 1.35 -15.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 55.2%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob61.5%

A 57% / xG 1.3-2.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.5%

#2 1–1 8.6%

#3 0–2 7.2%

#4 1–3 6.9%

#5 2–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulls Academy1.3

Blacktown Spartans2.2

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLS ACADEMY · PPG 1.21

BLACKTOWN SPARTANS · PPG 2.00

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.87 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Bulls Academy (H) 23.2%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +2.6%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -7.5%

Blacktown Spartans (A) 56.6%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -15.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulls Academy face Blacktown Spartans in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulls Academy a 23% chance, the draw 20% and Blacktown Spartans 57%, so Blacktown Spartans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bulls Academy and 2.2 for Blacktown Spartans (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulls Academy are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 2.00 for Blacktown Spartans. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Bulls Academy vs Blacktown Spartans Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 Predictions