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Rydalmere Lions vs Dulwich Hill Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:30

Rydalmere Lions

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Dulwich Hill

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 56.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.5%0-24.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.5%1-111.7%1-27.2%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.2%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.9%3-14.8%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.3% 50.0% 2.00 -15.4%

Draw 23.5% 29.4% 3.40 -12.1%

Away win 34.2% 33.3% 3.00 +2.6%

Over 2.5 56.4% 66.7% 1.50 -15.4%

Over 3.5 35.5% 46.1% 2.17 -23.0%

BTTS 57.1% 71.4% 1.40 -20.1%

Home O1.5 46.8% 59.2% 1.69 -20.9%

Away O1.5 36.6% 47.4% 2.11 -22.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 55.2%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob57.1%

H 42% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rydalmere Lions1.6

Dulwich Hill1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RYDALMERE LIONS · PPG 1.21

DULWICH HILL · PPG 1.07

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rydalmere Lions (H) 42.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -15.4%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -12.1%

Dulwich Hill (A) 34.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rydalmere Lions face Dulwich Hill in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rydalmere Lions a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Dulwich Hill 34%, so Rydalmere Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rydalmere Lions and 1.2 for Dulwich Hill (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rydalmere Lions are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.07 for Dulwich Hill. This match finished 3-2.

Rydalmere Lions vs Dulwich Hill Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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