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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 11 WIN Stadium· Wollongong Sunday, April 19, 2026 05:00
Wollongong W. logo Wollongong W. PPG 1.75
2-1 MISS
Sutherland S. logo Sutherland S. PPG 1.50
Away· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.3%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -22.8%
Draw 28.3%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -0.9%
Away 37.5%
Odds: 2.70 EV: +1.3%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.7% Odds: 1.77 -28.0%
Over 3.5 20.3% Odds: 3.00 -39.1%
BTTS 46.9% Odds: 1.62 -24.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Wollongong W.
1.12
Sutherland S.
1.19

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.50)

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