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Sydney FC B vs Blacktown City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 11 Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre· Sydney Sunday, April 19, 2026 05:00
Sydney FC B logo Sydney FC B PPG 1.50
2-2 HIT CS3
Blacktown City logo Blacktown City PPG 0.80
Over3.5· +23.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney FC B face Blacktown City in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney FC B a 53% chance, the draw 20% and Blacktown City 27%, so Sydney FC B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sydney FC B and 1.6 for Blacktown City (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney FC B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.80 for Blacktown City. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.8%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +5.6%
Draw 20.1%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -23.6%
Away 27.1%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -20.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.8% Odds: 1.53 +12.9%
Over 3.5 53.6% Odds: 2.30 +23.3%
BTTS 71.3% Odds: 1.42 +1.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sydney FC B
2.25
Blacktown City
1.59

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +12.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+23.3%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.80)

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