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Temperley vs Tristan Suarez Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 18:30

Temperley

PPG 1.88 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Tristan Suarez

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.5%0-118.3%0-26.8%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-112.1%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.3%2-14.0%2-21.5%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.2%3-10.9%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 41.7% 2.40 -9.0%

Draw 32.9% 39.2% 2.55 -16.1%

Away win 29.2% 29.4% 3.40 -0.4%

Over 2.5 34.9% 32.3% 3.10 +8.2%

Over 3.5 18.0% 14.3% 7.00 +15.6%

BTTS 44.6% 43.5% 2.30 +2.6%

Home O1.5 33.7% 33.3% 3.00 +1.1%

Away O1.5 22.5% 25.0% 4.00 -6.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 147 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -11.1%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.6%

D 33% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.5%

#2 0–1 18.3%

#3 1–0✓ 16.2%

#4 1–1 12.1%

#5 0–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Temperley0.7

Tristan Suarez0.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.88

TRISTAN SUAREZ · PPG 1.78

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away GOOD (1.78)

Win probability 1X2

Temperley (H) 37.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -9.0%

Draw 32.9%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -16.1%

Tristan Suarez (A) 29.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -0.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Temperley face Tristan Suarez in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Temperley a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Tristan Suarez 29%, so Temperley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Temperley and 0.7 for Tristan Suarez (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Temperley are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.78 for Tristan Suarez. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Temperley vs Tristan Suarez Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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