Today / KFA vs V. Olafsvik

KFA vs V. Olafsvik Prediction

Saturday, July 4, 2026

KFA

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

V. Olafsvik

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.1%0-21.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-02.0%1-13.7%1-23.3%1-32.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-03.3%2-16.0%2-25.4%2-33.3%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.7%3-16.6%3-25.9%3-33.6%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-112.3%4+-211.1%4+-36.7%4+-4+4.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.7% — — —

Draw 18.2% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 74.4% — — —

Over 3.5 53.2% — — —

BTTS 69.1% — — —

Home O1.5 75.0% — — —

Away O1.5 49.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob69.1%

H 58% / xG 3.3-1.8 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.6%

#2 2–1 6.0%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 2–2 5.4%

#5 4–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFA3.3

V. Olafsvik1.8

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KFA · PPG 1.40

V. OLAFSVIK · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

KFA (H) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

V. Olafsvik (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KFA face V. Olafsvik on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFA a 58% chance, the draw 18% and V. Olafsvik 24%, so KFA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for KFA and 1.8 for V. Olafsvik (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFA are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.75 for V. Olafsvik.

KFA vs V. Olafsvik Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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