Today / Ekenas IF vs PK-35

Ekenas IF vs PK-35 Prediction

Saturday, July 4, 2026

Ekenas IF
PPG 2.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
PK-35
PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-114.2%0-210.4%0-35.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.5%1-112.4%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.7%2-15.4%2-23.9%2-31.9%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.1%3-11.6%3-21.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 22.7%
Draw 25.7%
Away win 51.6%
Over 2.5 49.7%
Over 3.5 28.8%
BTTS 52.8%
Home O1.5 33.7%
Away O1.5 48.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.8%

A 52% / xG 0.9-1.5 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%
#2 0–1 14.2%
#3 0–0 9.7%
#4 0–2 10.4%
#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ekenas IF0.9
PK-351.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EKENAS IF · PPG 2.50

PK-35 · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Win probability 1X2

Ekenas IF (H) 22.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
PK-35 (A) 51.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ekenas IF face PK-35 on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ekenas IF a 23% chance, the draw 26% and PK-35 52%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ekenas IF and 1.5 for PK-35 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ekenas IF are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.17 for PK-35.

PredictVantage

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