Today / Yanbian Longdin vs Dingnan

Yanbian Longdin vs Dingnan Prediction

Saturday, July 4, 2026

Yanbian Longdin

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dingnan

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Caution: Away form (1.80) strong but model favors Home (P=45.2%)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-111.3%0-25.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.8%1-113.3%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.1%2-17.9%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.2%3-13.1%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 27.6% — — —

Over 2.5 49.7% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 52.8% — — —

Home O1.5 35.2% — — —

Away O1.5 31.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.8%

H 45% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.7%

#3 1–0 13.8%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yanbian Longdin1.2

Dingnan1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

YANBIAN LONGDIN · PPG 1.00

DINGNAN · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.80) strong but model favors Home (P=45.2%)

Win probability 1X2

Yanbian Longdin (H) 45.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dingnan (A) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yanbian Longdin face Dingnan on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yanbian Longdin a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Dingnan 28%, so Yanbian Longdin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Yanbian Longdin and 1.0 for Dingnan (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yanbian Longdin are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Dingnan.

Yanbian Longdin vs Dingnan Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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