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Comunicaciones vs Municipal Prediction— Guatemala - Liga Nacional

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 01:00

Comunicaciones

PPG 2.10 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Municipal

PPG 1.51 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-111.6%0-25.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.8%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.5%2-17.6%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-12.9%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 41.7% 2.40 -2.3%

Draw 28.6% 35.7% 2.80 -11.9%

Away win 30.7% 34.5% 2.90 -11.0%

Over 2.5 44.8% 44.4% 2.25 +0.8%

Over 3.5 25.6% 23.8% 4.20 +4.5%

BTTS 49.2% 51.3% 1.95 -4.1%

Home O1.5 31.1% 38.3% 2.61 -18.8%

Away O1.5 25.7% 32.9% 3.04 -13.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 46.9%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.8%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0 12.9%

#4 0–1✓ 11.6%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Comunicaciones1.1

Municipal0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 2.10

MUNICIPAL · PPG 1.51

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 2.05 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Comunicaciones (H) 40.7%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -2.3%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.9%

Municipal (A) 30.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Comunicaciones face Municipal in Guatemala - Liga Nacional on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Comunicaciones a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Municipal 31%, so Comunicaciones are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Comunicaciones and 0.9 for Municipal (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Comunicaciones are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.51 for Municipal. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Comunicaciones vs Municipal Prediction— Guatemala - Liga Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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