Today / George Cross vs Oakleigh C.

George Cross vs Oakleigh C. Prediction

Saturday, July 4, 2026

George Cross
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Oakleigh C.
PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-112.0%0-211.1%0-36.9%0-4+4.9%1 1-05.7%1-110.6%1-29.8%1-36.1%1-4+4.3%2 2-02.5%2-14.7%2-24.4%2-32.7%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.7%3-11.4%3-21.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 22.0%
Draw 22.3%
Away win 55.7%
Over 2.5 55.6%
Over 3.5 35.2%
BTTS 55.6%
Home O1.5 33.7%
Away O1.5 49.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob55.6%

A 56% / xG 0.9-1.9 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%
#2 0–2 11.1%
#3 0–1 12.0%
#4 1–2 9.8%
#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

George Cross0.9
Oakleigh C.1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.6% · O3.5 PROB 35.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GEORGE CROSS · PPG 1.33

OAKLEIGH C. · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

George Cross (H) 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Oakleigh C. (A) 55.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

George Cross face Oakleigh C. on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives George Cross a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Oakleigh C. 56%, so Oakleigh C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for George Cross and 1.9 for Oakleigh C. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, George Cross are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.33 for Oakleigh C..

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