Today / Viking vs Tromso

Viking vs Tromso Prediction

Saturday, July 4, 2026

Viking

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tromso

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=64.7%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-12.9%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.0%1-17.3%1-23.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-19.3%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.7%3-17.9%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-19.2%4+-24.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.7% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 17.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.3% — — —

BTTS 55.6% — — —

Home O1.5 61.5% — — —

Away O1.5 23.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.6%

H 65% / xG 2.5-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–0 8.7%

#4 1–1 7.3%

#5 3–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viking2.5

Tromso0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKING · PPG 3.00

TROMSO · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=64.7%

Win probability 1X2

Viking (H) 64.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tromso (A) 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viking face Tromso on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viking a 65% chance, the draw 18% and Tromso 18%, so Viking are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Viking and 0.9 for Tromso (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viking are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.60 for Tromso.

Viking vs Tromso Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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