Today / Kristiansund vs KFUM Oslo

Kristiansund vs KFUM Oslo Prediction

Saturday, July 4, 2026

Kristiansund

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

KFUM Oslo

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=45.7%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-18.1%0-24.8%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.2%1-112.1%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.1%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.8%3-14.6%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.7% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 54.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.2% — — —

BTTS 55.6% — — —

Home O1.5 43.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.6%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 0–0 6.8%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kristiansund1.5

KFUM Oslo1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KRISTIANSUND · PPG 1.40

KFUM OSLO · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=45.7%

Win probability 1X2

Kristiansund (H) 45.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KFUM Oslo (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kristiansund face KFUM Oslo on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kristiansund a 46% chance, the draw 26% and KFUM Oslo 29%, so Kristiansund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kristiansund and 1.2 for KFUM Oslo (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kristiansund are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.40 for KFUM Oslo.

Kristiansund vs KFUM Oslo Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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