Today / Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga

Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga Prediction

Saturday, July 4, 2026

Bodo/Glimt

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Valerenga

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-12.1%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.3%1-15.9%1-22.1%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-18.3%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.9%3-17.8%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-110.8%4+-23.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.4% — — —

Draw 18.0% — — —

Away win 14.6% — — —

Over 2.5 66.7% — — —

Over 3.5 43.9% — — —

BTTS 54.4% — — —

Home O1.5 74.5% — — —

Away O1.5 22.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob54.4%

H 67% / xG 2.8-0.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.7%

#2 3–0 10.9%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 4–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bodo/Glimt2.8

Valerenga0.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BODO/GLIMT · PPG 2.40

VALERENGA · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bodo/Glimt (H) 67.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Valerenga (A) 14.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bodo/Glimt face Valerenga on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bodo/Glimt a 67% chance, the draw 18% and Valerenga 15%, so Bodo/Glimt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Bodo/Glimt and 0.7 for Valerenga (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bodo/Glimt are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 0.80 for Valerenga.

Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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