Today / KPV Kokkola vs PKKU

KPV Kokkola vs PKKU Prediction

Sunday, June 28, 2026

KPV Kokkola
PPG 0.60 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
PKKU
PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-14.6%0-27.7%0-38.8%0-4+17.6%1 1-01.2%1-14.2%1-27.1%1-38.0%1-4+16.1%2 2-00.6%2-11.9%2-23.2%2-33.7%2-4+7.4%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-21.0%3-31.1%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 13.3%
Draw 17.6%
Away win 69.1%
Over 2.5 72.1%
Over 3.5 52.8%
BTTS 61.6%
Home Over 1.5 32.5%
Away Over 1.5 82.4%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 69%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob61.6%

A 69% / xG 0.9-3.4 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 8.8%
#2 1–3 8.0%
#3 0–2 7.7%
#4 0–4 7.4%
#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KPV Kokkola0.9
PKKU3.4

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.1% · O3.5 PROB 52.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KPV KOKKOLA · PPG 0.60

PKKU · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

KPV Kokkola (H) 13.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
PKKU (A) 69.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KPV Kokkola face PKKU on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KPV Kokkola a 13% chance, the draw 18% and PKKU 69%, so PKKU are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for KPV Kokkola and 3.4 for PKKU (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KPV Kokkola are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.40 for PKKU.

PredictVantage

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