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Gungahlin Juven vs Brindabella Blu Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 05:00

Gungahlin Juven

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brindabella Blu

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 77.4% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.6%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.5%1-12.5%1-21.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.0%2-15.2%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.9%3-17.0%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-021.0%4+-121.5%4+-211.0%4+-33.7%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 72.6% 1.15 -16.5%

Draw 17.3% 7.00 +12.7%

Away win 10.0% 11.00 +6.0%

Over 2.5 77.4% 1.20 -7.1%

Over 3.5 52.9% 1.47 -22.2%

BTTS 61.6% 1.57 -3.3%

Home Over 1.5 77.8% 1.10 -14.4%

Away Over 1.5 33.9% 3.64 +23.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 4.4%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.6%

H 73% / xG 4.1-1.0 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 7.2%

#2 4–0 7.0%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 3–0 6.9%

#5 5–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gungahlin Juven4.1

Brindabella Blu1.0

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.4% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GUNGAHLIN JUVEN · PPG 1.50

BRINDABELLA BLU · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gungahlin Juven (H) 72.6%

ODDS 1.15 · IMPLIED 87.0% EV -16.5%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +12.7%

Brindabella Blu (A) 10.0%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gungahlin Juven face Brindabella Blu in Australia - Capital Territory NPL on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gungahlin Juven a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Brindabella Blu 10%, so Gungahlin Juven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for Gungahlin Juven and 1.0 for Brindabella Blu (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gungahlin Juven are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Brindabella Blu. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +23.4%.

Gungahlin Juven vs Brindabella Blu Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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