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Gungahlin Juven vs Brindabella Blu Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 05:00

Gungahlin Juven

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Brindabella Blu

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.8% vs bookmaker-implied 90.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.6%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.5%1-12.5%1-21.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.0%2-15.2%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.9%3-17.0%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-021.0%4+-121.5%4+-211.0%4+-33.7%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.6% 87.0% 1.15 -16.5%

Draw 17.3% 14.3% 7.00 +12.7%

Away win 10.0% 9.1% 11.00 +6.0%

Over 2.5 77.4% 83.3% 1.20 -7.1%

Over 3.5 52.9% 68.0% 1.47 -22.2%

BTTS 61.6% 63.7% 1.57 -3.3%

Home O1.5 77.8% 90.9% 1.10 -14.4%

Away O1.5 33.9% 27.5% 3.64 +23.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.6%

H 73% / xG 4.1-1.0 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 7.2%

#2 4–0 7.0%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 3–0 6.9%

#5 5–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gungahlin Juven4.1

Brindabella Blu1.0

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.4% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GUNGAHLIN JUVEN · PPG 1.50

BRINDABELLA BLU · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gungahlin Juven (H) 72.6%

ODDS 1.15 · IMPLIED 87.0% EV -16.5%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +12.7%

Brindabella Blu (A) 10.0%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gungahlin Juven face Brindabella Blu in Australia - Capital Territory NPL on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gungahlin Juven a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Brindabella Blu 10%, so Gungahlin Juven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for Gungahlin Juven and 1.0 for Brindabella Blu (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gungahlin Juven are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Brindabella Blu. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +23.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Gungahlin Juven vs Brindabella Blu Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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