Today / Dingnan vs Wuxi Wugou

Dingnan vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Dingnan

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wuxi Wugou

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-111.7%0-28.0%0-33.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.3%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.1%2-17.0%2-24.8%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.9%3-12.5%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 30.7% — —

Draw 27.1% — —

Away win 42.2% — —

Over 2.5 50.1% — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — —

BTTS 54.7% — —

Home Over 1.5 35.5% — —

Away Over 1.5 38.9% — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.7%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dingnan1.1

Wuxi Wugou1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DINGNAN · PPG 1.00

WUXI WUGOU · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Dingnan (H) 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wuxi Wugou (A) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dingnan face Wuxi Wugou on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dingnan a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Wuxi Wugou 42%, so Wuxi Wugou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Dingnan and 1.4 for Wuxi Wugou (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dingnan are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Wuxi Wugou.

Dingnan vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions