Today / Suzhou Dongwu vs Shanghai Jiadin

Suzhou Dongwu vs Shanghai Jiadin Prediction

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Suzhou Dongwu

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shanghai Jiadin

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-117.6%0-210.6%0-34.3%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.5%1-112.7%1-27.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-03.8%2-14.6%2-22.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.1%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 22.5% — —

Draw 30.5% — —

Away win 47.0% — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — —

Over 3.5 23.4% — —

BTTS 48.1% — —

Home Over 1.5 32.5% — —

Away Over 1.5 38.7% — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.1%

A 47% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.6%

#2 0–1 17.6%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–2 10.6%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suzhou Dongwu0.7

Shanghai Jiadin1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SUZHOU DONGWU · PPG 0.60

SHANGHAI JIADIN · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Suzhou Dongwu (H) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shanghai Jiadin (A) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suzhou Dongwu face Shanghai Jiadin on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suzhou Dongwu a 23% chance, the draw 31% and Shanghai Jiadin 47%, so Shanghai Jiadin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.2 for Shanghai Jiadin (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suzhou Dongwu are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.33 for Shanghai Jiadin.

Suzhou Dongwu vs Shanghai Jiadin Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions