Today / Qingdao West C. vs Zhejiang

Qingdao West C. vs Zhejiang Prediction

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Qingdao West C.
PPG 1.29 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Zhejiang
PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-19.9%0-25.9%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.8%1-112.8%1-27.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-18.3%2-25.0%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.0%3-13.6%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 41.6%
Draw 26.1%
Away win 32.4%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Over 3.5 32.6%
BTTS 55.8%
Home Over 1.5 43.1%
Away Over 1.5 37.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.8%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 0–0 8.3%
#3 1–0 10.8%
#4 2–1 8.3%
#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qingdao West C.1.3
Zhejiang1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

QINGDAO WEST C. · PPG 1.29

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Qingdao West C. (H) 41.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Zhejiang (A) 32.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao West C. face Zhejiang on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao West C. a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Zhejiang 32%, so Qingdao West C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Qingdao West C. and 1.2 for Zhejiang (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao West C. are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.43 for Zhejiang.

PredictVantage

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