Today / Treaty Utd W vs Sligo Rovers W

Treaty Utd W vs Sligo Rovers W Prediction

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Treaty Utd W
PPG 1.25 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Sligo Rovers W
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-110.1%0-24.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.8%1-113.0%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.5%2-18.3%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.1%3-13.6%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 45.0%
Draw 27.2%
Away win 27.8%
Over 2.5 48.1%
Over 3.5 28.2%
BTTS 48.8%
Home Over 1.5 43.1%
Away Over 1.5 22.9%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.8%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–0 11.5%
#3 1–0 14.8%
#4 2–0 9.5%
#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Treaty Utd W1.3
Sligo Rovers W0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TREATY UTD W · PPG 1.25

SLIGO ROVERS W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Treaty Utd W (H) 45.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sligo Rovers W (A) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Treaty Utd W face Sligo Rovers W on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treaty Utd W a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Sligo Rovers W 28%, so Treaty Utd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Treaty Utd W and 0.9 for Sligo Rovers W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treaty Utd W are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Sligo Rovers W.

PredictVantage

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