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Queanbeyan City vs Canberra White Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 05:00

Queanbeyan City

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Canberra White

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 76.0% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.6%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.8%1-12.3%1-21.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.8%2-14.9%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.1%3-16.8%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-026.0%4+-121.7%4+-29.0%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 67.2% 1.20 -19.4%

Draw 16.8% 6.00 +0.5%

Away win 16.0% 9.00 +26.4%

Over 2.5 76.0% 1.30 -1.2%

Over 3.5 52.9% 1.70 -10.1%

BTTS 60.2% 1.63 -1.9%

Home Over 1.5 77.8% 1.18 -8.2%

Away Over 1.5 22.9% 3.75 -8.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 84%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 14.0%

Bet Hit 84%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob60.2%

H 67% / xG 4.2-0.8 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 8.5%

#2 3–0 8.1%

#3 5–0 7.1%

#4 4–1 7.1%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queanbeyan City4.2

Canberra White0.8

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 2.00

CANBERRA WHITE · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Queanbeyan City (H) 67.2%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -19.4%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +0.5%

Canberra White (A) 16.0%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Queanbeyan City face Canberra White in Australia - Capital Territory NPL on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queanbeyan City a 67% chance, the draw 17% and Canberra White 16%, so Queanbeyan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Queanbeyan City and 0.8 for Canberra White (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queanbeyan City are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Canberra White. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +26.4%.

Queanbeyan City vs Canberra White Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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