Today / Athlone W vs Shelbourne W

Athlone W vs Shelbourne W Prediction

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Athlone W
PPG 3.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Shelbourne W
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-15.7%0-23.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.8%1-110.6%1-25.7%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.7%3-16.1%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-14.4%4+-22.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 52.9%
Draw 23.5%
Away win 23.6%
Over 2.5 61.3%
Over 3.5 37.3%
BTTS 56.5%
Home Over 1.5 54.4%
Away Over 1.5 36.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob56.5%

H 53% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 2–0 9.1%
#4 1–0 9.8%
#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Athlone W1.9
Shelbourne W1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ATHLONE W · PPG 3.00

SHELBOURNE W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=52.9%

Win probability 1X2

Athlone W (H) 52.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Shelbourne W (A) 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Athlone W face Shelbourne W on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Athlone W a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Shelbourne W 24%, so Athlone W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Athlone W and 1.1 for Shelbourne W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Athlone W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Shelbourne W.

PredictVantage

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