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Oulu vs Lahti Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 18:00

Oulu

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lahti

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-19.5%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.3%1-112.4%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-18.1%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.9%3-13.5%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 48.6% 1.94 -5.7%

Draw 27.9% 3.35 -3.9%

Away win 23.6% 3.60 -9.0%

Over 2.5 44.2% 1.85 -18.2%

Over 3.5 23.4% 3.10 -16.5%

BTTS 48.1% 1.67 -19.7%

Home Over 1.5 43.1% 1.95 -16.0%

Away Over 1.5 22.9% 2.95 -19.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 30%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -4.1%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.1%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.3%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oulu1.3

Lahti0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OULU · PPG 3.00

LAHTI · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=48.6%

Win probability 1X2

Oulu (H) 48.6%

ODDS 1.94 · IMPLIED 51.5% EV -5.7%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -3.9%

Lahti (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Oulu face Lahti in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oulu a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Lahti 24%, so Oulu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Oulu and 0.7 for Lahti (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oulu are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.60 for Lahti.

Oulu vs Lahti Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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