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Volsungur vs Grotta Prediction— Iceland - 1. Deild

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 15:00

Volsungur

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Grotta

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 66.6% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-15.0%0-25.3%0-33.8%0-4+3.4%1 1-03.7%1-18.0%1-28.6%1-36.2%1-4+5.5%2 2-03.0%2-16.5%2-27.0%2-35.0%2-4+4.4%3 3-01.6%3-13.5%3-23.8%3-32.7%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.1%4+-22.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 3.30 +15.2%

Draw 21.9% 4.10 -6.1%

Away win 43.2% 1.80 -22.2%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.33 -11.8%

Over 3.5 46.6% 1.90 -11.5%

BTTS 66.6% 1.33 -11.4%

Home Over 1.5 52.6% 2.00 +5.2%

Away Over 1.5 55.6% 1.45 -19.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob66.6%

A 43% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volsungur1.6

Grotta2.1

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 46.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLSUNGUR · PPG 0.80

GROTTA · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Volsungur (H) 34.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +15.2%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -6.1%

Grotta (A) 43.2%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -22.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Volsungur face Grotta in Iceland - 1. Deild on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volsungur a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Grotta 43%, so Grotta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Volsungur and 2.1 for Grotta (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volsungur are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.80 for Grotta. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.2%.

Volsungur vs Grotta Prediction— Iceland - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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