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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 9 Olimpico Atahualpa· Quito Saturday, April 18, 2026 21:30
U. Catolica logo U. Catolica PPG 2.50
2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Libertad logo Libertad PPG 0.50
Home· +13.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.2%
Odds: 1.32 EV: +13.8%
Draw 11.1%
Odds: 4.85 EV: -46.2%
Away 2.7%
Odds: 9.40 EV: -74.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.4% Odds: 1.65 -11.9%
Over 3.5 31.2% Odds: 2.62 -18.3%
BTTS 22.7% Odds: 1.93 -56.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 4-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

U. Catolica
2.53
Libertad
0.28

Model Suggestion

Home +13.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

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