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Ecuador - Liga Pro
Regular Season - 9
Olimpico Atahualpa· Quito
Saturday, April 18, 2026
21:30
U. Catolica
PPG 2.50
2-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
Libertad
PPG 0.50
Home· +13.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
86.2%
Odds: 1.32
EV: +13.8%
Draw
11.1%
Odds: 4.85
EV: -46.2%
Away
2.7%
Odds: 9.40
EV: -74.6%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
53.4%
Odds: 1.65
-11.9%
Over 3.5
31.2%
Odds: 2.62
-18.3%
BTTS
22.7%
Odds: 1.93
-56.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✔
2nd
3-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
4-0
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
U. Catolica
2.53
Libertad
0.28
Model Suggestion
Home
+13.8%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus