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Mariehamn vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

Mariehamn

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Turku

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 66.1% vs bookmaker-implied 77.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-116.4%0-215.3%0-39.6%0-4+6.8%1 1-05.0%1-19.3%1-28.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.9%2 2-01.4%2-12.6%2-22.4%2-31.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 12.7% 9.60 +13.2%

Draw 21.2% 4.80 +1.1%

Away win 66.1% 1.29 -14.7%

Over 2.5 49.8% 1.62 -19.3%

Over 3.5 28.6% 2.50 -17.1%

BTTS 48.1% 1.91 -8.1%

Home Over 1.5 32.5% 5.00 +62.5%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 1.38 -31.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 30%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -4.1%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob48.1%

A 66% / xG 0.6-1.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 15.3%

#2 0–1 16.4%

#3 1–1 9.3%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 0–3 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mariehamn0.6

Inter Turku1.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MARIEHAMN · PPG 0.50

INTER TURKU · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Mariehamn (H) 12.7%

ODDS 9.60 · IMPLIED 10.4% EV +13.2%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +1.1%

Inter Turku (A) 66.1%

ODDS 1.29 · IMPLIED 77.5% EV -14.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mariehamn face Inter Turku in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mariehamn a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Inter Turku 66%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Mariehamn and 1.9 for Inter Turku (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mariehamn are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.83 for Inter Turku. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +62.5%.

Mariehamn vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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