Today / Haka vs KTP

Haka vs KTP Prediction

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Haka

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

KTP

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.83) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-19.6%0-25.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.5%1-112.9%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.4%2-18.7%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.8%3-13.9%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 45.0% — —

Draw 27.2% — —

Away win 27.8% — —

Over 2.5 49.8% — —

Over 3.5 28.6% — —

BTTS 52.8% — —

Home Over 1.5 43.1% — —

Away Over 1.5 35.0% — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.8%

H 45% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haka1.3

KTP1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HAKA · PPG 1.83

KTP · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.83) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Win probability 1X2

Haka (H) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KTP (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haka face KTP on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haka a 45% chance, the draw 27% and KTP 28%, so Haka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Haka and 1.0 for KTP (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haka are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.17 for KTP.

Haka vs KTP Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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