Today / Shenzhen vs Chengdu
Shenzhen vs Chengdu Prediction
Saturday, June 27, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 46% / xG 1.1-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%
Form & verdict
SHENZHEN · PPG 1.63
CHENGDU · PPG 2.29
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs Home GOOD (1.63)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Shenzhen face Chengdu on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shenzhen a 30% chance, the draw 24% and Chengdu 47%, so Chengdu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Shenzhen and 1.9 for Chengdu (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shenzhen are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 2.29 for Chengdu.