Today / Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longdin

Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longdin Prediction

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Foshan Nanshi

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yanbian Longdin

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-112.7%0-210.1%0-35.4%0-4+3.1%1 1-07.4%1-111.9%1-29.5%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.5%2-15.6%2-24.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.1%3-11.7%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 25.2% — —

Draw 24.7% — —

Away win 50.1% — —

Over 2.5 54.0% — —

Over 3.5 34.3% — —

BTTS 55.8% — —

Home Over 1.5 32.8% — —

Away Over 1.5 49.7% — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.8%

A 50% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 0–1 12.7%

#3 0–2 10.1%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 1–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Foshan Nanshi0.9

Yanbian Longdin1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FOSHAN NANSHI · PPG 0.33

YANBIAN LONGDIN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Foshan Nanshi (H) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yanbian Longdin (A) 50.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Foshan Nanshi face Yanbian Longdin on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Foshan Nanshi a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Yanbian Longdin 50%, so Yanbian Longdin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Foshan Nanshi and 1.6 for Yanbian Longdin (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Foshan Nanshi are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Yanbian Longdin.

Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longdin Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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