Today / Liaoning Tieren vs Shandong T.
Liaoning Tieren vs Shandong T. Prediction
Saturday, June 27, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 49% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%
Form & verdict
LIAONING TIEREN · PPG 1.71
SHANDONG T. · PPG 1.29
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Liaoning Tieren face Shandong T. on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liaoning Tieren a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Shandong T. 28%, so Liaoning Tieren are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Liaoning Tieren and 1.3 for Shandong T. (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liaoning Tieren are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.29 for Shandong T..