Today / Mungyeong W vs Incheon W

Mungyeong W vs Incheon W Prediction

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Mungyeong W

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Incheon W

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.88)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-114.5%0-29.2%0-33.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.3%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.7%2-15.9%2-23.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.4%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 29.0% — —

Draw 27.6% — —

Away win 43.3% — —

Over 2.5 48.4% — —

Over 3.5 28.3% — —

BTTS 50.4% — —

Home Over 1.5 32.5% — —

Away Over 1.5 38.9% — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob50.4%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 14.5%

#4 0–2 9.2%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mungyeong W0.9

Incheon W1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

MUNGYEONG W · PPG 0.88

INCHEON W · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Mungyeong W (H) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Incheon W (A) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mungyeong W face Incheon W on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mungyeong W a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Incheon W 43%, so Incheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mungyeong W and 1.3 for Incheon W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mungyeong W are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.60 for Incheon W.

Mungyeong W vs Incheon W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions