Today / Changnyeong W vs Sejong W

Changnyeong W vs Sejong W Prediction

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Changnyeong W
PPG 0.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Sejong W
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-17.7%0-26.7%0-33.9%0-4+2.6%1 1-06.0%1-110.6%1-29.3%1-35.4%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.1%2-17.2%2-26.4%2-33.7%2-4+2.4%3 3-01.9%3-13.3%3-22.9%3-31.7%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 31.7%
Draw 23.0%
Away win 45.4%
Over 2.5 64.2%
Over 3.5 42.0%
BTTS 62.7%
Home Over 1.5 43.1%
Away Over 1.5 49.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.7%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%
#2 1–2 9.3%
#3 2–1 7.2%
#4 0–2 6.7%
#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Changnyeong W1.4
Sejong W1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CHANGNYEONG W · PPG 0.00

SEJONG W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Changnyeong W (H) 31.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sejong W (A) 45.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Changnyeong W face Sejong W on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Changnyeong W a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Sejong W 45%, so Sejong W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Changnyeong W and 1.8 for Sejong W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Changnyeong W are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Sejong W.

PredictVantage

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