Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

Lexington W face Tampa Bay Sun W in USA - USL Super League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lexington W a 71% chance, the draw 18% and Tampa Bay Sun W 11%, so Lexington W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Lexington W and 0.7 for Tampa Bay Sun W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lexington W are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.18 for Tampa Bay Sun W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 4-0.