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Spokane Z. W vs F. Lauderdale W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 23:00

Spokane Z. W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

F. Lauderdale W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-16.8%0-22.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.4%1-111.4%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-19.5%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.3%3-15.4%3-22.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 63.7% 1.57 -27.0%

Draw 28.4% 28.6% 3.50 -0.6%

Away win 25.0% 20.0% 5.00 +25.0%

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 24.8% — — —

BTTS 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 52.9%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–0 13.4%

#3 2–0 11.3%

#4 0–0 8.0%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spokane Z. W1.7

F. Lauderdale W0.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SPOKANE Z. W · PPG 1.30

F. LAUDERDALE W · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.30) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Spokane Z. W (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -27.0%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -0.6%

F. Lauderdale W (A) 25.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +25.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Spokane Z. W face F. Lauderdale W in USA - USL Super League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spokane Z. W a 47% chance, the draw 28% and F. Lauderdale W 25%, so Spokane Z. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Spokane Z. W and 0.8 for F. Lauderdale W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spokane Z. W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.00 for F. Lauderdale W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.0%. This match finished 3-1.

Spokane Z. W vs F. Lauderdale W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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