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Spokane Z. W vs DC Power W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Regular Season - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 02:30

Spokane Z. W logo
Spokane Z. W
PPG 1.42 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
DC Power W logo
DC Power W
PPG 1.62 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-112.9%0-26.6%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.3%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.0%2-17.1%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.4%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.1% 41.7% 2.40 -13.4%
Draw 28.5% 34.5% 2.90 -10.4%
Away win 35.4% 37.0% 2.70 -4.4%
Over 2.5 45.8% 52.6% 1.90 -13.0%
Over 3.5 15.5% 30.8% 3.25 -29.8%
BTTS 49.3% 57.1% 1.75 -13.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5 65%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 45%
ROI 52.9%
Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.3%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%
#2 0–0 12.7%
#3 1–0 13.3%
#4 0–1 12.9%
#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spokane Z. W1.0
DC Power W1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 15.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SPOKANE Z. W · PPG 1.42

DC POWER W · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

Spokane Z. W (H) 36.1%
ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -13.4%
Draw 28.5%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.4%
DC Power W (A) 35.4%
ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -4.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Spokane Z. W face DC Power W in USA - USL Super League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spokane Z. W a 36% chance, the draw 28% and DC Power W 35%, so Spokane Z. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Spokane Z. W and 1.0 for DC Power W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spokane Z. W are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.62 for DC Power W. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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