Today / Newcastle O. vs Cooks Hill Utd

Newcastle O. vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Newcastle O.

PPG 0.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.43)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.2%0-23.5%0-32.6%0-4+2.3%1 1-03.0%1-16.6%1-27.1%1-35.2%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.3%2-35.3%2-4+4.8%3 3-02.1%3-14.5%3-24.9%3-33.6%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.7%4+-24.0%4+-32.9%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — —

Draw 21.7% — —

Away win 42.0% — —

Over 2.5 66.3% — —

Over 3.5 48.3% — —

BTTS 68.6% — —

Home Over 1.5 56.3% — —

Away Over 1.5 56.5% — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob68.6%

A 42% / xG 2.0-2.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.6%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 2–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newcastle O.2.0

Cooks Hill Utd2.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWCASTLE O. · PPG 0.43

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.43)

Win probability 1X2

Newcastle O. (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cooks Hill Utd (A) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Newcastle O. face Cooks Hill Utd on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle O. a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Cooks Hill Utd 42%, so Cooks Hill Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Newcastle O. and 2.2 for Cooks Hill Utd (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle O. are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.25 for Cooks Hill Utd.

Newcastle O. vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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