Tigres vs D. Quindio Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Colombia - Primera B Apertura - 15 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo Saturday, April 18, 2026 20:30

Tigres PPG 1.57

0-1 HIT CS3

D. Quindio PPG 2.29

Draw· -6.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tigres face D. Quindio in Colombia - Primera B on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tigres a 35% chance, the draw 32% and D. Quindio 33%, so Tigres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Tigres and 0.9 for D. Quindio (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tigres are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.29 for D. Quindio. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.0%

Odds: 2.60 EV: -9.0%

Draw 31.6%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -6.8%

Away 33.4%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -11.5%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.2% Odds: 2.50 -24.5%

Over 3.5 12.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 38.1% Odds: 2.05 -21.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tigres

0.97

D. Quindio

0.94

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs Home GOOD (1.57)