Today / Colombia - Primera B / Real Santander vs Internacional Palmira

Real Santander vs Internacional Palmira Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 20:30

Real Santander

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Internacional Palmira

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-113.1%0-211.3%0-36.5%0-4+4.1%1 1-06.5%1-111.2%1-29.6%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-02.8%2-14.8%2-24.1%2-32.4%2-4+1.5%3 3-00.8%3-11.3%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% 29.4% 3.40 -10.8%

Draw 24.4% 33.3% 3.00 -16.1%

Away win 51.5% 50.0% 2.00 +3.0%

Over 2.5 50.5% 50.0% 2.00 +1.0%

Over 3.5 28.8% 29.2% 3.42 -0.9%

BTTS 52.5% 57.8% 1.73 -9.2%

Home O1.5 30.9% 32.5% 3.08 -4.8%

Away O1.5 47.9% 47.2% 2.12 +1.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -32.5%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob52.5%

A 52% / xG 0.9-1.7 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–2 11.3%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Santander0.9

Internacional Palmira1.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL SANTANDER · PPG 1.00

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA · PPG 1.92

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.87 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Real Santander (H) 24.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.8%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.1%

Internacional Palmira (A) 51.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Santander face Internacional Palmira in Colombia - Primera B on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Santander a 24% chance, the draw 24% and Internacional Palmira 52%, so Internacional Palmira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Real Santander and 1.7 for Internacional Palmira (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Santander are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.92 for Internacional Palmira. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +17.9%. This match finished 3-1.

Real Santander vs Internacional Palmira Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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