Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Cartagena face Barranquilla in Colombia - Primera B on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Cartagena a 75% chance, the draw 16% and Barranquilla 9%, so Real Cartagena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Real Cartagena and 0.7 for Barranquilla (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Cartagena are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.17 for Barranquilla. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.1%. This match finished 1-3.