Orsomarso vs Leones Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

Orsomarso face Leones in Colombia - Primera B on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orsomarso a 69% chance, the draw 23% and Leones 8%, so Orsomarso are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Orsomarso and 0.4 for Leones (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orsomarso are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.57 for Leones. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 0-0.