Today / Seoul W vs Hwacheon W

Seoul W vs Hwacheon W Prediction

Friday, June 26, 2026

Seoul W
PPG 1.80 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Hwacheon W
PPG 2.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.6%0-119.4%0-213.8%0-36.5%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.8%1-111.1%1-27.9%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-02.2%2-13.2%2-22.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.4%3-10.6%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 18.2%
Draw 26.1%
Away win 55.7%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Over 3.5 26.9%
BTTS 48.1%
Home Over 1.5 32.5%
Away Over 1.5 38.9%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.1%

A 56% / xG 0.6-1.4 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.4%
#2 0–0 13.6%
#3 0–2 13.8%
#4 1–1 11.1%
#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul W0.6
Hwacheon W1.4

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL W · PPG 1.80

HWACHEON W · PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Seoul W (H) 18.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hwacheon W (A) 55.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul W face Hwacheon W on Friday, June 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul W a 18% chance, the draw 26% and Hwacheon W 56%, so Hwacheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Seoul W and 1.4 for Hwacheon W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul W are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.40 for Hwacheon W.

PredictVantage

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