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Sydney FC B vs Sydney Utd Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 21 ·Friday, June 26, 2026, 09:30

Sydney FC B

PPG 1.55 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sydney Utd

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-111.9%0-29.3%0-34.9%0-4+2.7%1 1-07.7%1-112.0%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.7%2 2-03.9%2-16.1%2-24.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.3%3-12.0%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 28.9% 3.35 -1.9%

Draw 27.5% 3.60 -0.6%

Away win 43.7% 1.91 -16.5%

Over 2.5 49.8% 1.77 -11.8%

Over 3.5 28.6% 2.95 -9.4%

BTTS 52.8% 1.67 -11.8%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 2.75 -2.4%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 1.85 -8.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 80 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.8%

A 44% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 11.9%

#3 1–2 9.4%

#4 0–0 7.6%

#5 0–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney FC B1.0

Sydney Utd1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY FC B · PPG 1.55

SYDNEY UTD · PPG 2.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home GOOD (1.55)

Win probability 1X2

Sydney FC B (H) 28.9%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.9%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -0.6%

Sydney Utd (A) 43.7%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney FC B face Sydney Utd in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Friday, June 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney FC B a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Sydney Utd 44%, so Sydney Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Sydney FC B and 1.6 for Sydney Utd (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney FC B are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 2.11 for Sydney Utd. This match finished 1-0.

Sydney FC B vs Sydney Utd Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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