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Cuiaba vs Londrina Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 15 ·Thursday, June 25, 2026, 23:30

Cuiaba

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Londrina

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.7%0-111.2%0-23.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.5%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.1%2-16.0%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.8%3-12.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 1.80 -18.8%

Draw 31.2% 3.05 -4.8%

Away win 23.6% 5.30 +15.0%

Over 2.5 34.9% 2.62 -8.6%

Over 3.5 18.0% 5.25 -3.3%

BTTS 44.2% 2.25 -0.5%

Win probability 1X2

Cuiaba (H) 45.1%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -18.8%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -4.8%

Londrina (A) 23.6%

ODDS 5.30 · IMPLIED 18.9% EV +15.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 83.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.2%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.7%

#2 1–0 21.5%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cuiaba1.0

Londrina0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CUIABA · PPG 1.43

LONDRINA · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.86)

Match Preview & Prediction

Cuiaba face Londrina in Brazil - Serie B on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cuiaba a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Londrina 24%, so Cuiaba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cuiaba and 0.5 for Londrina (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cuiaba are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.86 for Londrina. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.0%.

Cuiaba vs Londrina Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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