Today / Inter Palmira vs Boca Juniors

Inter Palmira vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Inter Palmira

PPG 2.50 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Boca Juniors

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-12.2%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.9%1-15.9%1-21.6%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.5%2-17.8%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.8%3-16.9%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-016.1%4+-18.6%4+-22.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.3% — — —

Draw 12.4% — — —

Away win 5.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.8% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 38.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob38.6%

H 82% / xG 2.7-0.5 / O2.5 62% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.5%

#2 3–0 12.8%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 4–0 8.5%

#5 2–1✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Palmira2.7

Boca Juniors0.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER PALMIRA · PPG 2.50

BOCA JUNIORS · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Inter Palmira (H) 82.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 12.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boca Juniors (A) 5.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Palmira face Boca Juniors on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Palmira a 82% chance, the draw 12% and Boca Juniors 5%, so Inter Palmira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Inter Palmira and 0.5 for Boca Juniors (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Palmira are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.86 for Boca Juniors. This match finished 2-1.

Inter Palmira vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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