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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 9 Saturday, April 18, 2026 04:00
Hume City logo Hume City PPG 2.25
0-1 MISS
St. Albans logo St. Albans PPG 0.75
Over3.5· +34.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.5%
Odds: 1.50 EV: +29.8%
Draw 8.8%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -63.9%
Away 4.7%
Odds: 5.25 EV: -75.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.6% Odds: 1.50 +19.4%
Over 3.5 61.3% Odds: 2.20 +34.9%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.55 -18.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0 ✘
2nd 4-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 4-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hume City
3.47
St. Albans
0.78

Model Suggestion

Home +29.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+34.9%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

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