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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 9 Avenger park· Melbourne Saturday, April 18, 2026 05:00
Avondale logo Avondale PPG 1.75
3-1 HIT CS3
Melbourne C. B logo Melbourne C. B PPG 1.67
Over3.5· +5.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.7%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -11.4%
Draw 20.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -15.5%
Away 24.7%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +3.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.1% Odds: 1.48 +2.3%
Over 3.5 47.8% Odds: 2.20 +5.2%
BTTS 66.8% Odds: 1.50 +0.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Avondale
2.16
Melbourne C. B
1.41

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +2.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+5.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 39%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 5.0%
Bet Hit 58% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.67)

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