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Australia - Victoria NPL
Regular Season - 9
Avenger park· Melbourne
Saturday, April 18, 2026
05:00
Avondale
PPG 1.75
3-1
HIT CS3
Melbourne C. B
PPG 1.67
Over3.5· +5.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
54.7%
Odds: 1.62
EV: -11.4%
Draw
20.6%
Odds: 4.10
EV: -15.5%
Away
24.7%
Odds: 4.20
EV: +3.7%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
69.1%
Odds: 1.48
+2.3%
Over 3.5
47.8%
Odds: 2.20
+5.2%
BTTS
66.8%
Odds: 1.50
+0.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
3-1
✔
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Avondale
2.16
Melbourne C. B
1.41
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+2.3%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+5.2%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 44 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
57%
O2.5/Under
50%
BTTS/No
39%
Score Hit
46%
ROI
5.0%
Bet Hit
58%
(19 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.67)