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Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi SC Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 4 ·Thursday, June 25, 2026, 18:45

Al Salmiyah

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Arabi SC

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-113.6%0-26.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.2%1-113.5%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.1%2-16.7%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.4%3-12.2%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 4.33 +56.8%

Draw 29.4% 3.50 +1.7%

Away win 34.4% 1.75 -39.8%

Over 2.5 47.4% 1.93 -8.5%

Over 3.5 28.1% 3.35 -3.5%

BTTS 48.1% 1.80 -13.4%

Win probability 1X2

Al Salmiyah (H) 36.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +56.8%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +1.7%

Al Arabi SC (A) 34.4%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -39.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 64%

ROI 5.7%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.1%

D 29% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.2%

#4 0–1 13.6%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Salmiyah1.0

Al Arabi SC0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SALMIYAH · PPG 2.00

AL ARABI SC · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.82)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Salmiyah face Al Arabi SC in Kuwait - Premier League on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Salmiyah a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Al Arabi SC 34%, so Al Salmiyah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Salmiyah and 0.9 for Al Arabi SC (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Salmiyah are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.82 for Al Arabi SC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +56.8%.

Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi SC Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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