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Al Qadsia vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 3 ·Monday, June 22, 2026, 18:45

Al Qadsia

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kazma

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-17.9%0-23.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.0%1-112.0%1-24.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.4%2-19.1%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.7%3-14.6%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 49.1% 1.88 -7.7%

Draw 27.3% 3.35 -5.1%

Away win 23.6% 3.85 -5.5%

Over 2.5 49.5% 1.95 -3.5%

Over 3.5 28.1% 3.35 -3.5%

BTTS 48.5% 1.75 -15.1%

Win probability 1X2

Al Qadsia (H) 49.1%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -7.7%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -5.1%

Kazma (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -5.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.8 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 15.0%

#3 0–0 9.9%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Qadsia1.5

Kazma0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL QADSIA · PPG 2.20

KAZMA · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.80)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Qadsia face Kazma in Kuwait - Premier League on Monday, June 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Qadsia a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Kazma 24%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Qadsia and 0.8 for Kazma (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Qadsia are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.80 for Kazma.

Al Qadsia vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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