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Independiente Y vs R. Cundinamarca Prediction

Unknown League Saturday, April 18, 2026
Independiente Y PPG 1.43
3-1 MISS
R. Cundinamarca PPG 0.57
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Independiente Y face R. Cundinamarca on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Independiente Y a 52% chance, the draw 31% and R. Cundinamarca 16%, so Independiente Y are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Independiente Y and 0.5 for R. Cundinamarca (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Independiente Y are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.57 for R. Cundinamarca. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 31.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 16.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 24.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 9.4% Odds: —
BTTS 28.2% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Independiente Y
1.18
R. Cundinamarca
0.52

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.43) vs P(Home)=52.3%

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