Independiente Y face R. Cundinamarca on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Independiente Y a 52% chance, the draw 31% and R. Cundinamarca 16%, so Independiente Y are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Independiente Y and 0.5 for R. Cundinamarca (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Independiente Y are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.57 for R. Cundinamarca. This match finished 3-1.
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.43) vs P(Home)=52.3%