Envigado vs Patriotas Prediction

Unknown League Apertura - 15 Estadio Polideportivo Sur· Envigado Saturday, April 18, 2026 20:30

Envigado PPG 1.33

2-0 HIT CS2

Patriotas PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Envigado face Patriotas on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Envigado a 68% chance, the draw 22% and Patriotas 11%, so Envigado are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Envigado and 0.5 for Patriotas (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Envigado are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.43 for Patriotas. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 21.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 10.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 20.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 34.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado

1.80

Patriotas

0.54

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.33), Away POOR (0.43) - Strong consensus